. | R a n k | Rise in rank since 2010 | Position | Country [1] | Group | Self-determination conflicts | Major armed conflict | Prior genocide / politicide | Massive movement - refugees and IDPs | Legacy of vengeance - group grievance | Rise of factionalized elites | Voice and Accountability | Political Stability | Rule of Law | OECD country risk classification [2] | TOTAL | |||||||
. | 1 | - | -0.38 | ↓ | Somalia | Minorities incl. Bantu, Benadiri and 'caste' groups (Gabooye etc.); clan members at risk in fighting incl. Hawiye, Darod, etc. | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9.5 | 9.8 | -2.002 | -3.092 | -2.427 | 7 | 23.28 | ||||||
. | 2 | - | 0.11 | ↑ | Sudan | Fur, Zaghawa, Massalit and others in Darfur; Ngok Dinka, Nuba, Beja | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9.6 | 9.9 | 9.9 | -1.705 | -2.701 | -1.320 | 7 | 22.00 | ||||||
. | 3 | - | -0.28 | ↓ | Afghanistan | Hazara, Pashtun, Tajiks, Uzbeks, Turkmen, Baluchis | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9.3 | 9.3 | 9.4 | -1.455 | -2.599 | -1.898 | 7 | 21.49 | ||||||
. | 4 | - | -0.39 | ↓ | Iraq | Shia, Sunnis, Kurds, Turkmen, Christians, Mandaeans, Yezidis, Shabak, Faili Kurds, Baha'is, Palestinians | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 9.6 | -1.053 | -2.272 | -1.618 | 7 | 20.92 | ||||||
. | 5 | - | -0.56 | ↓ | Burma/ Myanmar | Kachin, Karenni, Karen, Mons, Rakhine, Rohingyas, Shan, Chin (Zomis), Wa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8.7 | 8.3 | -2.094 | -1.290 | -1.501 | 7 | 20.43 | ||||||
. | 6 | - | -0.42 | ↓ | Pakistan | Ahmadiyya, Baluchis, Hindus, Mohhajirs, Pashtun, Sindhis, other religious minorities | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9.2 | 9.3 | 9.1 | -0.816 | -2.705 | -0.785 | 7 | 20.28 | ||||||
. | 7 | - | -0.11 | ↓ | Dem. Rep. of the Congo | Hema and Lendu, Hutu, Luba, Lunda, Tutsi/Banyamulenge, Batwa/Bambuti, other groups | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9.6 | 8.3 | 8.8 | -1.417 | -2.204 | -1.612 | 7 | 19.56 | ||||||
. | 8 | NEW | South Sudan [3] | Murle, Lou Nuer, Dinka, Anuak, Jie, Kachipo | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9.6 | 9.9 | 9.9 | -1.705 | -2.701 | -1.320 | 7 | 19.50 | ||||||||
. | 9 | -1 | 0.05 | ↑ | Ethiopia | Anuak, Afars, Oromo, Somalis, smaller minorities | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8.2 | 8.4 | 9.0 | -1.314 | -1.706 | -0.756 | 7 | 19.42 | ||||||
. | 10 | 4 | 1.95 | ↑ | Iran | Arabs, Azeris, Baha'is, Baluchis, Kurds, Turkomen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7.9 | 8.5 | 9.2 | -1.574 | -1.565 | -0.901 | 7 | 18.43 | ||||||
. | 11 | -2 | 0.12 | ↑ | Nigeria | Ibo, Ijaw, Ogoni, Yoruba, Hausa (Muslims) and Christians in the North | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9.6 | 9.5 | -0.823 | -2.047 | -1.206 | 5 | 18.38 | ||||||
. | 12 | -1 | -0.4 | ↓ | Israel/OPT [4] | Palestinians in Gaza/West Bank, Israeli Palestinians | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7.6 | 9.6 | 8.1 | -0.853 | -1.938 | -0.205 | 8 | 17.21 | ||||||
. | 13 | 2 | 0.93 | ↑ | Yemen | Zaydi Shia, 'Akhdam' | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8.4 | 8.6 | 9.3 | -1.282 | -2.223 | -1.052 | 7 | 16.82 | ||||||
. | 14 | 16 | 3.89 | ↑ | Syria | Political targets, Kurds, Shi'a, Palestinians | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8.5 | 8.7 | 7.9 | -1.676 | -0.815 | -0.541 | 7 | 16.59 | ||||||
. | 15 | -3 | -0.42 | ↓ | Zimbabwe | Ndebele, Europeans, political/social targets | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8.2 | 9 | 9.6 | -1.488 | -1.209 | -1.801 | 7 | 16.34 | ||||||
. | 16 | -3 | -0.34 | ↓ | Chad | Black African' groups, Arabs, Southerners | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9.5 | 9.4 | 9.8 | -1.383 | -1.532 | -1.501 | 7 | 16.32 | ||||||
. | 17 | -7 | -1.73 | ↓ | Cote d'Ivoire | Northern Mande (Dioula), Senoufo, Bete, newly-settled groups | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8.5 | 8.7 | 9.1 | -1.117 | -1.554 | -1.218 | 7 | 15.90 | ||||||
. | 18 | - | 0.1 | ↑ | Philippines | Indigenous peoples, Moros (Muslims), Chinese | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6.5 | 7.2 | 8.5 | -0.092 | -1.559 | -0.542 | 4 | 15.39 | ||||||
. | 19 | -2 | -0.63 | ↓ | Sri Lanka | Tamils, Muslims | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8.6 | 9.4 | 9.5 | -0.508 | -0.825 | -0.088 | 6 | 15.00 | ||||||
. | 20 | -1 | 0.24 | ↑ | Russian Federation | Chechens, Ingush and others in North Caucasus; indigenous northern peoples, Roma, Jews | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5.1 | 7.6 | 7.8 | -0.945 | -0.887 | -0.784 | 3 | 14.91 | ||||||
. | 21 | -5 | -1.01 | ↓ | Central African Republic | Kaba (Sara), Mboum, Mbororo, Aka | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9.6 | 8.6 | 9.1 | -1.124 | -2.145 | -1.302 | 7 | 14.75 | ||||||
. | 22 | - | 0.49 | ↑ | Burundi | Hutu, Tutsi, Batwa | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8.7 | 8.2 | 8.2 | -0.921 | -1.541 | -1.211 | 7 | 14.23 | ||||||
. | 23 | -3 | -0.16 | ↓ | Nepal | Madheshis (Terai), Dalits, linguistic minorities | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.4 | 9 | 8 | -0.533 | -1.684 | -1.021 | 7 | 13.93 | ||||||
. | 24 | -1 | 0.06 | ↑ | Angola | Bakongo, Cabindans, Ovimbundu, Pastoralists, San and Kwisi | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6.6 | 6.2 | 7 | -1.139 | -0.215 | -1.244 | 6 | 13.65 | ||||||
. | 25 | -4 | -0.21 | ↓ | Uganda | Acholi, Karamojong, Basongora, Batwa | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 8.6 | -0.477 | -1.120 | -0.403 | 6 | 13.60 | ||||||
. | 26 | -2 | -0.08 | ↓ | Lebanon | Druze, Maronite Christians, Palestinians, Shia, Sunnis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8.5 | 8.7 | 8.8 | -0.330 | -1.528 | -0.663 | 7 | 13.48 | ||||||
. | 27 | 9 | 0.97 | ↑ | Kyrgyzstan | Uzbeks, Russians | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.5 | 8.3 | 8.3 | -0.957 | -0.956 | -1.292 | 7 | 13.18 | ||||||
. | 28 | - | 0.04 | ↑ | Bosnia and Herzegovina | Croats, Bosniac Muslims, Serbs, Roma | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6.8 | 8.4 | 9.2 | -0.116 | -0.665 | -0.364 | 7 | 13.09 | ||||||
. | 29 | -4 | -0.75 | ↓ | Guinea | Fulani (Peul), Malinke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 | 7.9 | 9.2 | -0.901 | -1.812 | -1.506 | 7 | 12.73 | ||||||
. | 30 | 5 | 0.43 | ↑ | Thailand | Chinese, Malay-Muslims, Northern Hill Tribes | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 | 8 | 8.5 | -0.558 | -1.221 | -0.196 | 3 | 12.70 | ||||||
. | 31 | -5 | -0.70 | ↓ | Equatorial Guinea | Bubi, Annobon Islanders | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.7 | 6.6 | 8.2 | -1.887 | 0.240 | -1.259 | 7 | 12.70 | ||||||
. | 32 | -5 | -0.41 | ↓ | Georgia | Adzhars, Abkhazians, South Ossetians | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 | 8 | 9 | -0.173 | -0.681 | -0.209 | 6 | 12.65 | ||||||
. | 33 | -1 | 0.06 | ↑ | Laos | Hmong, other highland peoples | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5.8 | 6.5 | 8.6 | -1.634 | -0.226 | -0.897 | 7 | 12.62 | ||||||
. | 34 | -3 | -0.09 | ↓ | Algeria | Berbers, Saharawi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6.1 | 7.8 | 6.8 | -1.009 | -1.251 | -0.759 | 3 | 12.59 | ||||||
. | 35 | -6 | -0.3 | ↓ | Colombia | Political/social targets, Afro-descendants, indigenous peoples | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8.7 | 7.5 | 8.0 | -0.186 | -1.494 | -0.333 | 4 | 12.55 | ||||||
. | 36 | 28 | 2 | ↑ | Libya | Black' Libyans, migrant workers, political/social targets, Berbers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4.6 | 6 | 7 | -1.919 | -0.058 | -0.976 | 7 | 12.51 | ||||||
. | 37 | 2 | 0.41 | ↑ | Niger | Djerema-songhai, Hausa, Tuaregs | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 | 7.8 | 8.6 | -0.564 | -1.136 | -0.568 | 7 | 12.48 | ||||||
. | 38 | -1 | 0.1 | ↑ | Eritrea | Afars, Saho, Tigre, religious minorities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 | 6.1 | 8.1 | -2.175 | -0.871 | -1.292 | 7 | 12.21 | ||||||
. | 39 | 1 | 0.13 | ↑ | Turkey | Kurds, Alevis, Roma, Armenians and other Christians | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8.3 | 7.5 | -0.159 | -0.997 | 0.104 | 4 | 12.19 | ||||||
. | 40 | -7 | -0.31 | ↓ | Rwanda | Hutu, Tutsi, Batwa | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7.3 | 8.2 | 8.4 | -1.335 | -0.108 | -0.312 | 7 | 12.11 | ||||||
. | 41 | 2 | 0.16 | ↑ | Uzbekistan | Tajiks, Islamic political groups, religious minorities, Karakalpaks, Russians | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5.7 | 7.4 | 8.7 | -2.017 | -0.777 | -1.373 | 6 | 12.05 | ||||||
. | 42 | 2 | 0.19 | ↑ | China | Tibetans, Uyghurs, Mongols, Hui, religious minorities | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6.2 | 7.9 | 6.9 | -1.650 | -0.766 | -0.347 | 2 | 12.01 | ||||||
. | 43 | 7 | 0.49 | ↑ | Kosovo [5] | Serbs, Roma/Ashkali/Egyptians, Bosniaks, Turks, Gorani | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 | 7.5 | 8.0 | -0.173 | -1.156 | -0.639 | 7 | 11.99 | ||||||
. | 44 | -2 | -0.15 | ↓ | Bangladesh | Ahmadiyya, Hindus, other religious minorities; Chittagong Hill Tribes | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 | 9.2 | 8.9 | -0.276 | -1.425 | -0.768 | 6 | 11.82 | ||||||
. | 45 | - | 0.16 | ↑ | Cambodia | Cham, Vietnamese, indigenous hill tribes (Khmer Leou) | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5.6 | 7.2 | 8 | -0.873 | -0.617 | -1.088 | 6 | 11.79 | ||||||
. | 46 | -8 | -0.29 | ↓ | Kenya | Borana, Kalenjin, Kikuyu, Luyha, Luo, Muslims, Turkana, Endorois, Masai, Ogiek, other indigenous groups | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8.5 | 8.7 | 8.8 | -0.231 | -1.201 | -1.011 | 6 | 11.78 | ||||||
. | 47 | -1 | 0.06 | ↑ | North Korea | Political/social targets, religious minorities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.3 | 6.9 | 7.4 | -2.208 | -0.451 | -1.297 | 7 | 11.60 | ||||||
. | 48 | -7 | -0.41 | ↓ | Haiti | Political/social targets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.2 | 7.3 | 8.8 | -0.716 | -0.924 | -1.353 | 7 | 11.58 | ||||||
. | 49 | 5 | 0.46 | ↑ | Djibouti | Afars | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 | 6.2 | 7.5 | -1.140 | 0.297 | -0.715 | 8 | 11.54 | ||||||
. | 50 | -1 | 0.08 | ↑ | Venezuela | Indigenous peoples, Afro-descendants | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.8 | 7 | 7.3 | -0.905 | -1.370 | -1.643 | 7 | 11.48 | ||||||
. | 51 | -4 | -0.04 | ↓ | Azerbaijan | Armenians | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 | 7.5 | 7.9 | -1.272 | -0.308 | -0.883 | 5 | 11.47 | ||||||
. | 52 | -4 | -0.06 | ↓ | Tajikistan | Uzbeks, Russians | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.9 | 7.2 | 8.6 | -1.356 | -0.911 | -1.196 | 7 | 11.45 | ||||||
. | 53 | -2 | 0.14 | ↑ | Cameroon | Westerners | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 | 7.8 | 8.5 | -1.062 | -0.576 | -1.044 | 6 | 11.37 | ||||||
. | 54 | -20 | -1.01 | ↓ | Indonesia | Acehnese, Chinese, Dayaks, Madurese, Papuans | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6.6 | 6.6 | 7 | -0.055 | -0.887 | -0.630 | 3 | 11.31 | ||||||
. | 55 | 5 | 0.41 | ↑ | India | Assamese, Bodos, Nagas, Tripuras, other Adivasis; Kashmiris, Sikhs, Muslims, Dalits | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8.2 | 6.8 | 0.424 | -1.315 | -0.058 | 3 | 11.16 | ||||||
. | 56 | -3 | 0.03 | ↑ | Mauritania | Haratins ('Black Moors'), Kewri | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.8 | 7.8 | 7.9 | -0.892 | -1.250 | -0.876 | 7 | 11.14 | ||||||
. | 57 | 4 | 0.43 | ↑ | Guinea Bissau | Balanta,Fula (Fulani), Manjaco (Manjack or Mandyako), Mandinga (Mandinka), Papel (Pepel), Ejamat (Felupe), Jola (Diola), Susu , Cape Verdeans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 | 5.4 | 9.2 | -0.891 | -0.767 | -1.351 | 7 | 11.02 | ||||||
. | 58 | -6 | -0.22 | ↓ | Serbia | Bosniaks, Ethnic Albanians, Croats, Roma | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6.4 | 7.5 | 8.0 | 0.291 | -0.406 | -0.389 | 6 | 10.90 | ||||||
. | 59 | -1 | 0.04 | ↑ | Vietnam | Montagnards (Degar), other highland peoples, religious minorities | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5.7 | 6.9 | -1.430 | 0.129 | -0.483 | 5 | 10.84 | ||||||
. | 60 | -1 | -0.02 | ↓ | Nicaragua | Indigenous peoples, Creoles | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4.9 | 6 | 6.8 | -0.479 | -0.606 | -0.828 | 7 | 10.74 | ||||||
. | 61 | 18 | 1.91 | ↑ | Mali | Tuareg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5.3 | 6 | 4.5 | 0.153 | -0.253 | -0.481 | 6 | 10.71 | ||||||
. | 62 | -6 | -0.29 | ↓ | Timor Leste | Westerners', 'Easterners', Muslims, Chinese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7.1 | 8.3 | 0.022 | -0.485 | -1.209 | 8 | 10.57 | ||||||
. | 63 | 2 | -0.02 | ↓ | Guatemala | Indigenous peoples, Garifuna | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5.6 | 6.9 | 6 | -0.355 | -0.796 | -1.037 | 5 | 10.40 | ||||||
. | 64 | 28 | 2.27 | ↑ | Egypt | Copts, Shi'a, Baha'is | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.4 | 8.3 | 8 | -1.204 | -0.907 | -0.109 | 5 | 10.38 | ||||||
. | 65 | 9 | 0.68 | ↑ | Belarus | Poles | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.6 | 6.8 | 8 | -1.554 | -0.111 | -1.046 | 7 | 10.15 | ||||||
. | 66 | 14 | 1.36 | ↑ | Madagascar | Côtier, Merina, Indians/Pakistanis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.6 | 5.2 | 8 | -0.798 | -1.134 | -0.843 | 7 | 10.12 | ||||||
. | 67 | 1 | -0.02 | ↓ | Turkmenistan | Uzbeks, Russians, Kazakhs, religious minorities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.2 | 6.6 | 7.7 | -2.029 | 0.242 | -1.455 | 6 | 10.08 | ||||||
. | 68 | -5 | -0.57 | ↓ | Congo (Rep.) | Lari, M'Boshi, Aka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 | 6 | 6.7 | -1.031 | -0.246 | -1.133 | 6 | 10.06 | ||||||
. | 69 | -14 | -1.02 | ↓ | Ecuador | Afro-descendants, Indigenous peoples | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 | 6.9 | 8.2 | -0.279 | -0.630 | -0.166 | 7 | 10.03 | ||||||
. | 70 | -8 | -0.56 | ↓ | Liberia | Dan, Krahn, Ma, other groups | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.6 | 6.8 | 8.1 | -0.226 | -0.455 | -1.010 | 7 | 9.98 | ||||||
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